Reliable Corona Virus Data & Resources

2 months ago

The Corona Virus is obviously the #1 topic in pretty much every discussion these days. Since there is a lot of misinformation out there and tons of rumors and contradictory statements floating around on social media, I wanted to give all of you some reliable sources that I'm using to keep myself up to date. The list below contains informative podcasts, articles and data sources that are very reliable and will likely answer all of your questions around the topic:

 

The data:

  • Corona Virus map (confirmed cases & deaths): Johns Hopkins University
  • Additional statistics and stats (eg. deaths per country per day): worldometer
  • Covering the basics about the virus, it's symptoms and progression: OurWorldInData
  • Information / Study regarding the high number of deaths in Italy: Link

 

Informative Interviews & Podcasts:

  • Amesh Adalja, infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins: Link
  • Michael Osterholm, infections disease expert: Link
  • Anthony Fauci, Director of the NIAID: Link
  • 29.03. - Interview with Dr. Birx: videointerview
  • 29.03. - Interview with Dr. Fauci: video-link
  • 31.03. - Podholer delivering as usual: Coronavirus vs. Science
  • 19.04. - Mortality data (Spain) based on age groups: Link
  • 23.04. - New data out of New York - New York Times Article

 

General information on fatality rates:

For some reason this meme just does not die. You hear it all the time: "Look at Spain/Italy, they have a mortality rate of 10%!!". This is not accurate. People mix up the case fatality rate (number of deaths based on the number of confirmed(!) cases) with the actual fatality rate (number of deaths based on the number of actual cases). Since nobody at this point knows the real number of cases out there (a lot of cases are asymptomatic) we have denominator problem. What we do know though is that the number of actual cases exceeds the number of confirmed cases by an order of probably several magnitudes. According to several smaller studies across the globe the average fatality rate is currently corrected down and estimate to be even less that 1%, with several of them suggesting the fatality rate to be lower than even 0.6%. 

It has to be pointed out here though that first of all these are small studies, so the results should be regarded with some caution since we still need studies with bigger sample sizes to confirm. Additionally some of these studies have been criticized (Standford Stude in Santa Clara and the Heinsberg study in Germany). I found it still important to note here, since all of these studies come more or less to similar conclusions regarding the actual mortality rate across countries.

 

Update: 
New York has now (23. April 20202) also released some data of a small case study (based around anti-body testing) which also suggests an actual death rate of 0.5% - New York Times Article. This is in line with the formerly mentioned Standford Study and Heinsberg Study, even though both have been criticized for potential inaccuracies. Here is an article voicing some criticism regarding the accuracy of the mentioned case studies: Link. I think it's noteworthy that even though we have to take the results with a bit of caution, there is a definite trend here where small case-studies around the globe show a very similar picture. 
 

I hope that you find the links useful and that it helps to clear up misconceptions or questions that you guys might have. I'll update the post when I find additional material that is helpful. Until then stay safe & at home everybody and enjoy your Netflix binges!

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